The IMF has acted with unprecedented speed and scale to support low-income countries during the pandemic. The Fund provided financial support to 53 of 69 eligible low-income countries in 2020 and in the first half of 2021, with about US$14 billion disbursed as zero percent interest rate loans from the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust.
Most of this support was through the Fund’s emergency financing instruments—the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF) and Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI)—which provide immediate, one-time disbursements to countries facing urgent balance of payments needs. The Fund was able to respond to a record number of requests for financial assistance through a series of temporary access limit increases to the RCF and RFI, and temporary increases in the Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) overall access limits.
Support for developing countries should focus on grants and highly concessional loans for the poorest and fragile countries and helping the more advanced crowd in foreign investment and private finance
Combining overhauls in areas including business and external regulation, governance, and human development can boost output levels by 3 percent over four years.
Banking systems are largely insulated from inflation, but vulnerabilities at some banks could lead to tradeoffs between containing inflation and protecting financial stability
New accession candidates will need to undertake equally ambitious reforms to make the next expansion a comparable success
To employ a growing population, the region needs to transform informal jobs, reduce barriers to business growth, and create conditions conductive to jobs growth in higher productivity sectors—especially in fragile and low-income countries
Easing the burden on lower-income households is not only socially fair, but also economically efficient
The decision on the Investment of Temporary Resources to Generate Income to Contribute to PRG, PRG-HIPC, and CCR Trusts which was adopted on July 28, 2017, and amended thereafter, was further amended on October 15, 2024, by the Executive Board of the IMF. This decision references the Guidelines for Investing PRG, RS, PRG-HIPC and CCR Trusts’ Assets adopted by the Executive Board on October 15, 2024. These Guidelines are also available to the public.
This paper updates the projections of the Fund’s income position for FY 2025 and FY 2026 and proposes related decisions for the current and the following financial years. The paper includes proposed decisions to transfer part of its net income to facilitate the generation of subsidy resources for Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust (PRGT) and to initiate the payout from the Endowment Subaccount to meet administrative expenses. It also includes a proposed decision to keep the margin for the rate of charge unchanged at the level set by the Executive Board in October 2024. The Fund’s total comprehensive income for FY 2025 is projected at about SDR 3.4 billion after taking into account the projected pension-related remeasurement gain and estimated retained income in the Investment Account.
On November 15, 2024, the IMF’s Executive Board concluded the Review of the IMF’s Transparency Policy and Open Archives Policy and approved a number of reforms. As an international institution, making important documents available to the public on timely basis enhances the IMF’s credibility, accountability, and effectiveness and is critical to fulfill its mandate of promoting global economic and financial stability. While transparency at the IMF is achieved through a range of policies and practices, the Transparency Policy and the Open Archives Policy form the core elements of the IMF’s transparency framework. The Fund has come a long way since the inception of these policies in the early nineties. Most Board documents are now published, published more quickly, and under more consistent and evenhanded application of modification rules. The information available in the Fund’s archives has increased and is more easily accessible to the public. While experience suggests that these policies are effective in delivering on their objectives, the landscape in which the Fund operates has evolved since these policies were last reviewed in 2013. In a more interconnected and shock-prone world the pace with which policymakers need to make decisions has accelerated and the expectations of stakeholders on the availability and timeliness of the Fund’s analysis and policy advice has grown. Against this backdrop, the 2024 Review of the IMF’s Transparency Policy and Open Archives Policy focuses on targeted reforms to (i) support faster publication of board documents and communications of Board’s decisions; (ii) strengthen the rules and processes to modify Board documents prior to publication; and (iii) allow faster release of some documents in the Fund’s archives accessible to the public. The reforms further clarify the scope and objectives of these policies, their implementation processes, and how to strengthen knowledge sharing. The review was supported by data analysis as well as surveys and consultations with key stakeholders, including Executive Directors, country authorities, IMF missions chiefs, and civil society organizations as detailed in the three background papers accompanying this 2024 review.
This paper reports on the Fund’s income position for FY 2024 following the closing of the Fund’s accounts for the financial year and completion of the external audit. Overall net income of the General Department was SDR 4.7 billion, about SDR 0.2 billion higher than estimated in April, mainly reflecting an increase in the remeasurement gain reported under IAS 19 (the accounting standard for employee benefits). GRA net income in FY 2024 increases the Fund’s reserves and, in accordance with decisions taken by the Executive Board in April 2024, a net transfer of currencies of SDR 3.3 billion will be made from the GRA to the Investment Account during FY 2025. The Fund’s precautionary balances, following the placement of net income to the Fund’s reserves and the pension-related adjustments for the year, reached SDR 25.1 billion at the end of FY 2024, in line with the April projection.
On October 11, 2024, the IMF’s Executive Board concluded the Review of Charges and the Surcharge Policy. The review is part of a broader ongoing effort to ensure that the IMF’s lending policies remain fit for purpose to meet the evolving needs of the membership. Charges and surcharges are important elements of the IMF’s cooperative lending and risk-management framework, where all members contribute and all can benefit from support when needed. Together, they cover lending intermediation expenses, help accumulate reserves to protect against financial risks, and provide incentives for prudent and temporary borrowing. This provides a strong financial foundation that allows the IMF to extend vital balance of payments support on affordable terms to member countries when they need it most.
Against the backdrop of a challenging economic environment and high global interest rates, the Executive Board reached consensus on a comprehensive package of reforms that substantially reduces the cost of borrowing for members while safeguarding the IMF's financial capacity to support countries in need. The approved measures will lower IMF borrowing costs by about US$1.2 billion annually or reduce payments on the margin of the rate of charge as well as surcharges on average by 36 percent. The number of countries subject to surcharges in fiscal year 2026 is expected to fall from 20 to 13.
Key reforms include a reduction in the margin for the rate of charge, an increase in the threshold for level-based surcharges, a reduction in rate for time-based surcharges, an alignment of thresholds for commitment fees with annual and cumulative access limits for GRA lending facilities, and institution of regular reviews of surcharges.
The series of three papers informed the Executive Board’s first and second informal engagements (July and September 2024) and the formal meeting (October 2024) on this review.
On October 11, 2024, the IMF’s Executive Board concluded the Review of Charges and the Surcharge Policy. The review is part of a broader ongoing effort to ensure that the IMF’s lending policies remain fit for purpose to meet the evolving needs of the membership. Charges and surcharges are important elements of the IMF’s cooperative lending and risk-management framework, where all members contribute and all can benefit from support when needed. Together, they cover lending intermediation expenses, help accumulate reserves to protect against financial risks, and provide incentives for prudent and temporary borrowing. This provides a strong financial foundation that allows the IMF to extend vital balance of payments support on affordable terms to member countries when they need it most.
Against the backdrop of a challenging economic environment and high global interest rates, the Executive Board reached consensus on a comprehensive package of reforms that substantially reduces the cost of borrowing for members while safeguarding the IMF's financial capacity to support countries in need. The approved measures will lower IMF borrowing costs by about US$1.2 billion annually or reduce payments on the margin of the rate of charge as well as surcharges on average by 36 percent. The number of countries subject to surcharges in fiscal year 2026 is expected to fall from 20 to 13.
Key reforms include a reduction in the margin for the rate of charge, an increase in the threshold for level-based surcharges, a reduction in rate for time-based surcharges, an alignment of thresholds for commitment fees with annual and cumulative access limits for GRA lending facilities, and institution of regular reviews of surcharges.
The series of three papers informed the Executive Board’s first and second informal engagements (July and September 2024) and the formal meeting (October 2024) on this review.
This paper examines Ramsey-optimal policies related to fiscal spending and international reserve accumulation in response to volatile aid flows in Low-Income Countries (LICs). We develop a real Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model of a small open economy, incorporating government transfers and public investment as fiscal spending components, along with two prominent characteristics of LICs: Dutch disease (DD) externalities and financially constrained households. Driven by considerations of precautionary saving, Ramsey-optimal policies involve partial reserve accumulation and partial fiscal spending of aid. Stronger DD externalities necessitate greater reserve ac- cumulation to stabilize future output, thereby mitigating consumption volatility. While transfers directly support private consumption smoothing, public investment also con- tributes to this goal by sustaining future income through gradual capital accumulation. Higher aid volatility calls for increased public investment, underscoring the role of public capital accumulation as a precautionary saving instrument, beyond its developmental role discussed in the literature.
This paper examines the distinct and interactive effects of state capacity (SC) and institutional quality (IN) on real GDP per capita growth across up to 130 countries over the period 1970–2022. Using a novel identification strategy that isolates large, exogenous governance shocks via both residual-based and percentile-based approaches, we estimate dynamic responses using local projections. We find that SC and IN shocks yield positive and persistent growth effects, particularly in emerging and developing economies, where governance gaps are most binding. Institutional reforms generate the strongest gains. In contrast, SC shocks show weaker effects on average, though they become highly effective when implemented alongside institutional improvements, highlighting a strong complementarity. Results are robust to alternative shock definitions and endogeneity concerns. A two-stage least squares (2SLS) approach using income-group-based democratization waves and natural disasters as instruments confirms the validity of our shocks, with IV estimates closely tracking the baseline, except for government effectiveness (GEE) shocks, where the IV point estimate is significantly larger. These findings suggest that endogeneity is not a major concern, and underscore that targeted institutional reforms, particularly when supported by capable state structures, can deliver substantial economic dividends.
During a major crisis, the transitional dynamics of conditional convergence are unlikely to apply. In this paper, we introduce a Markov chain approach which integrates the study of crises and convergence. We allow upwards and downwards mobility to change when a country enters a crisis regime. We find that conflict and debt crises help to explain the persistence of low relative income, and that the convergence process has changed over time. Faster global convergence in the early 2000s can be attributed partly to fewer and shorter crises, so the multiple shocks after 2020 are likely to have slowed income convergence.
Greece has coped with large current account deficits and negative net foreign assets for a long time. Now, the country has an opportunity to address this vulnerability through the European Union’s Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) and its associated Recovery and Resilience Plan (RRP). The plan involves large public investments and reforms, aimed at boosting Greece’s long-term potential. The crucial question is: can this ambitious plan fix Greece's external imbalances over the long run? Using a small open-economy model, we track how the RRP may affect savings, investment, and external balances. We find that: (i) a successful RRP/RRF can correct most of Greece’s external imbalances, through a large increase in public savings; (ii) the RRP/RRF is no magic bullet, as prudent macroeconomic policies will remain necessary to lock-in the positive effects over the long run.
I study how monetary policy interacts with mortgage underwriting standards in shaping tenure decisions and rental market equilibria. Using property-level data from the American Housing Survey, I show that the increase in mortgage rates between 2021 and 2023 pushed many potential first-time home-buyers above FHA mortgage payment-to-income limits, restricting their access to home-ownership. This resulted in additional demand pressure on local rental markets, contributing to rent price inflation in 2023. Rentals located in cities with larger shares of constrained first-time buyers experienced steeper price growth, controlling for unit characteristics and contemporaneous economic developments. Rent inflation was more pronounced in smaller units occupied by lower-income renters, underscoring the potential for second-round distributional effects of monetary policy.
This paper uses both macro and household-level data to examine the relationship between digital financial inclusion, measured by the Peking University digital financial inclusion index, and income inequality in China. We find that a higher level of digital financial inclusion is associated with significantly lower income inequality within provinces, including through having larger positive effects on lower-income households’ incomes from salaries and public and private transfers. However, we do not find a significant impact of digital financial inclusion on income inequality across provinces, as households in the relatively more developed southern region benefitted more from digital financial inclusion than those in the northern region. We also find that digital financial inclusion has larger effects on the incomes of rural, female-headed, and less educated households, which have likely contributed to the narrowing of the overall income inequality, but a smaller effect on the income of elderly households—pointing to the “digital divide” problem among the elderly in China.
A conversation on how sub-Saharan Africa can promote climate-resilient and green development. African Department director Abebe Aemro Selassie hosts the premiere episode of Africa Perspectives.
A discussion with University of Zambia students on how Zambia is making progress in its reform efforts to restore sustainability, invest in youth, combat corruption, and attract investment and the role of the IMF.
The conference provides an opportunity to discuss how South Asia can build on its development success in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions to achieve its potential.
A discussion on how the Resilience and Sustainability Trust fits wider climate objectives at the country and global level.
Jihad Azour, Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department, presents the IMF’s latest economic outlook and growth projections for the MENA region
A presentation and discussion of the October 2022 Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa.
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